Skip to main content
Energy Guide

Understanding Basis Spreads

Why Waha natural gas trades at negative prices while Henry Hub stays positive. How basis differentials reveal pipeline bottlenecks, regional supply imbalances, and arbitrage opportunities.

What Is a Basis Spread?

A basis spread (or basis differential) is the price difference between the same commodity at two different locations. It measures the cost of moving energy from one hub to another — reflecting transportation, pipeline capacity, and regional supply/demand.

Basis Spread = Price at Hub A - Price at Hub B

Key Basis Spreads in Energy Markets

SpreadWhat It MeasuresTypical Range
Waha-Henry HubPermian Basin pipeline bottleneck severity-$10 to +$1/MMBtu
Brent-WTIAtlantic Basin crude oil arbitrage window-$3 to +$10/bbl
Brent-DubaiEast-West crude flow economics$0 to +$8/bbl
TTF-Henry HubAtlantic LNG export incentive$2 to +$30/MMBtu
Brent-OmanPhysical delivery premium signal-$2 to +$5/bbl

The Waha Paradox: When Gas Prices Go Negative

The Waha Hub in West Texas is the primary trading point for Permian Basin natural gas. In 2026, Waha experienced 44 consecutive days of negative pricing — producers literally paid others to take their gas.

This happens because:

  • Associated gas — Permian gas is a byproduct of oil drilling. Producers can't stop gas production without stopping lucrative oil production.
  • Pipeline bottlenecks — Production (27.7 Bcf/d) overwhelms takeaway capacity to the Gulf Coast.
  • No storage — Unlike oil, stranded gas has limited local storage options.

The Waha-Henry Hub basis spread quantifies this bottleneck. When it's deeply negative (-$7 to -$10), it signals severe infrastructure constraints. New pipelines like Matterhorn Express and Hugh Brinson are expected to normalize this by late 2026.

Brent-WTI: The Global Crude Arbitrage

The Brent-WTI spread reflects the relative value of international vs domestic U.S. crude. When Brent trades at a premium to WTI, it incentivizes U.S. crude exports. When the spread narrows or inverts, domestic supply is tight.

Why Basis Spreads Matter

For midstream companies: Basis spreads determine whether pipelines are economically full. A wide Waha-HH basis justifies new pipeline investment.

For traders: Basis differentials create arbitrage opportunities. If you can move gas from Waha to Henry Hub cheaper than the basis spread, you profit.

For producers: Basis risk is the risk that the price at your production location diverges from the benchmark. Permian producers face massive basis risk on gas.

Get Basis Spread Data via API

curl -H "Authorization: Token YOUR_KEY" \
  "https://api.oilpriceapi.com/v1/spreads/basis?pair=WAHA_HH"

# All basis pairs at once
curl -H "Authorization: Token YOUR_KEY" \
  "https://api.oilpriceapi.com/v1/spreads/basis/all"

Returns spread value, component prices, signal classification (normal/widening/severe_bottleneck), negative streak days, and 1-year percentile. Full API docs.

Track basis spreads in real time

Waha-HH, Brent-WTI, Brent-Dubai, TTF-HH — all via REST API.

Get API Key