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Monthly Report

June 2020 Oil Market Outlook

Published June 1, 2020

Price Forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

Current Price
$59.00
Jul 2020 Forecast78% conf.
$58.00
Range: $55.00 - $65.00
Sep 2020 Forecast56% conf.
$62.00
Range: $51.00 - $71.00
Outlook: Bearish

Brent Crude Oil

Current Price
$64.00
Jul 2020 Forecast80% conf.
$65.00
Range: $61.00 - $69.00
Sep 2020 Forecast68% conf.
$62.00
Range: $57.00 - $74.00
Outlook: Neutral

Natural Gas (Henry Hub)

Current Price
$3.10
Jul 2020 Forecast78% conf.
$3.30
Range: $2.80 - $3.60
Sep 2020 Forecast62% conf.
$3.30
Range: $2.50 - $3.90
Outlook: Bullish

Key Market Drivers

Technical Trend

+2.6% momentum

EIA STEO Outlook

$61 median (1m), $64 (3m)

Inventory Signal

Draws support price

Rig Count Signal

Declining, bullish

Market Context

28.1
OPEC Production (mb/d)
26M
Cushing Storage (bbl)
626
US Rig Count

Forecast Accuracy

12.0%
1-Month MAPE
16.0%
3-Month MAPE
66%
1M Direction Accuracy
56%
3M Direction Accuracy

MAPE = Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Lower is better. Direction accuracy shows how often we correctly predicted if price would go up or down.

Disclaimer

These forecasts are statistical projections based on historical price patterns and market indicators. They do not account for geopolitical events, supply disruptions, policy changes, or other unforeseen factors that significantly impact commodity prices. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is not financial or trading advice. Use at your own risk.

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