Skip to main content
Monthly Report

August 2021 Oil Market Outlook

Published August 1, 2021

Price Forecasts

WTI Crude Oil

Current Price
$71.00
Sep 2021 Forecast80% conf.
$72.00
Range: $67.00 - $77.00
Nov 2021 Forecast68% conf.
$72.00
Range: $63.00 - $83.00
Outlook: Bearish

Brent Crude Oil

Current Price
$68.00
Sep 2021 Forecast78% conf.
$67.00
Range: $65.00 - $73.00
Nov 2021 Forecast62% conf.
$70.00
Range: $61.00 - $78.00
Outlook: Neutral

Natural Gas (Henry Hub)

Current Price
$3.30
Sep 2021 Forecast72% conf.
$3.50
Range: $3.00 - $3.80
Nov 2021 Forecast56% conf.
$3.70
Range: $2.70 - $4.10
Outlook: Bullish

Key Market Drivers

Technical Trend

+3.8% momentum

EIA STEO Outlook

$73 median (1m), $76 (3m)

Inventory Signal

Draws support price

Rig Count Signal

Declining, bullish

Market Context

28.3
OPEC Production (mb/d)
38M
Cushing Storage (bbl)
608
US Rig Count

Forecast Accuracy

10.0%
1-Month MAPE
18.0%
3-Month MAPE
68%
1M Direction Accuracy
68%
3M Direction Accuracy

MAPE = Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Lower is better. Direction accuracy shows how often we correctly predicted if price would go up or down.

Disclaimer

These forecasts are statistical projections based on historical price patterns and market indicators. They do not account for geopolitical events, supply disruptions, policy changes, or other unforeseen factors that significantly impact commodity prices. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is not financial or trading advice. Use at your own risk.

Access Forecast Data via API

Get programmatic access to our oil price forecasts with JSON responses. Build dashboards, alerts, or integrate with your trading systems.

Get Free API Key